Exclusive New Research from the Telecom Leader

Survey stats * market share * real world deployments * and more

Now with two ways to buy…

      Subscribe in NewsGator Online   Subscribe in Bloglines   
   Comments

Cogent sees first-ever quarterly traffic decline

more on the topic

More Related Articles

Cogent Communications lowered its revenue and earnings expectations for the year today following the company’s first-ever quarter of negative traffic growth.

Cogent saw a 1% sequential decline in network traffic in the second quarter, primarily due to a 3% decline in the month of June, caused in part by a drop in usage from schools amid summer vacation. (In July, however, traffic grew 1%.) In addition, said Dave Schaeffer, Cogent’s chief executive officer, “We saw a series of video and social networking sites exhibit much more modest traffic growth than they had been.”

Cogent has seen summer traffic slowdowns before. Internet traffic growth was negative in August 2007, for example. But the second quarter 2008 was the first time in the company’s history that traffic growth has been negative for a full quarter.

Cogent began seeing the rate of Internet traffic growth decelerate early this year. In both April and May the company saw 1% sequential traffic growth, far below its historical levels, which, compounded over the past five years, have been around 120%. And the company’s observations coincide with the latest worldwide Internet traffic measurements from the University of Minnesota, which indicate growth continuing at 50% to 60% annually but perhaps at a slightly slower rate.

“The Internet will continue to grow, but it is in a period of transition,” Schaeffer said, adding that he believes some of Cogent’s competitors have not been “forthright” in acknowledging this widespread traffic deceleration in their anecdotal comments on the subject.

“It would be easy to use the economy as a shield to explain the lower traffic growth,” he said. “We don’t see that. Our sales cycle time has not expanded.”

Internet traffic deceleration is being driven by industry business models, Schaffer said. Broadband penetration is high in the Western world, and current speeds are generally not a current bottleneck on growth. To grow Internet traffic consumption, he said, “You need more applications that consumers want to use more and more.” In particular, he said, growth will come from Internet video, which is still in its infancy.

Want to use this article? Click here for options!
© 2009 Penton Media Inc.

  • Telephony Content


blog comments powered by Disqus
Get Updates Via Email
  • Telephony Content

related resources

popular articles

Webcasts

WEBCAST

Reduce Customer Churn and Cut Costs Webcast | July 22, 2009

Learn the best practices for online customer billing and service – how to implement a paperless bill, drive traffic to your web site, improve customer service.

REGISTER NOW

White Papers

WHITE PAPER

Automated End-to-End Managed Service Delivery. Sponsored by Ciena.

Ciena’s industry-leading CoreDirector Multiservice Optical Switch with FastMesh® has been used for efficient and robust core switching in the world’s largest networks. DOWNLOAD NOW

Podcasts

PODCAST

Wikimedia explores the phone as encyclopedia

Kul Wadhwa, head of business development, Wikimedia Foundation, discusses with senior editor Kevin Fitchard the Wikipedia’s future on the mobile phone. LISTEN

Blogs

BLOG

I-feature: Readers respond

As promised, a key component of Telephony’s new Interactive Featureis reader participation READ

E-Books

Telephony May Special Section: Carrier Ethernet

No slowdown in sight!

Read how carrier Ethernet is defying the slow economy. DOWNLOAD NOW!

  • Telephony Content
  • Telephony Content

commentary

Carol Wilson
Energy bill should energize change

June 29, 2009

Read Now

Carol Wilson
Steve Hilton
Ask Steve

June 29, 2009

Read Now

Steve Hilton

Recent Comments

Follow comments on Telephony

More ways to stay informed

Find us on Facebook

follow us on twitter

Browse Issues

  • June 1, 2009
  • October 1, 2008
  • April 1, 2009
  • March 1, 2009
  • February 1, 2009
  • January 1, 2009
  • December 1, 2008