Telephony LIVE

THE 2008 TELECOM SUMMIT

Introducing Telephony Live: The 2008 Telecom Summit -- the second annual, two-day conference from the editors of Telephony magazine.

Learn more

         Subscribe in NewsGator Online   Subscribe in Bloglines

Farewell to the forecast

Consolidation throughout multiple segments of the telecom industry continues to reshape the landscape, such that our view of the horizon is now virtually blocked by telco mega-condo developments reaching for the sky.

more on the topic

More Related Articles

Perhaps any safe predictions for the industry's future went out the window way back in the mid-1990s, but the rampant deal-making and re-strategizing of recent months makes the last decade's M&A binge look like an exercise in patience by comparison. The latest acquisition to alter the landscape yet again was last week's bid by Level 3 Communications to acquire Broadwing. Editor-at-Large Carol Wilson's story on the matchup is on page 8. It was a deal that ultimately surprised very few of us, yet it seems to thrust Level 3 into an interesting position — it has consolidated much of the wholesale market to give itself an edge there, while also making itself a more viable option for enterprise customers wanting a diversity of service providers.

That enterprise market diversity is a trend we've covered in the past, but Level 3's latest deal begs a question: If having only one or two choices (AT&T or Verizon) of primary service providers isn't enough, how many choices do enterprises want for their secondary service provider? Level 3 is hinting that its acquisition binge is finished for a while, but if it isn't, are we heading for a universe of three choices, rather than two, and where's the difference in that? Furthermore, is Level 3 itself now ripe for to be acquired?

It's not just consolidation that's making it hard to determine what will happen next in this industry. Technology decisions and rumors of decisions are coming at us like big, loopy curveballs — they should be easy to hit, but they are really messing with our timing. First, Sprint committed to Mobile WiMAX this summer in a decision that may have rejuvenated an entire ecosystem that had been running on hype fumes. Now, several analysts are wondering if AT&T is about to change its attitude about its fiber upgrade and go with a mix of FTTP along with its existing FTTN strategy, rather than pursuing only the latter. Read the story on page 10 by Senior Writer Ed Gubbins for more on that.

Maybe it wouldn't be such a strange move by a large telco that sees fit to use a variety of solutions to reach different customer environments, but if that decision is coming, when will it happen? AT&T was due to report earnings last Friday after this issue went to press, so maybe we already know the answer, but if not, how soon must AT&T make this decision to stay on track with its broadband upgrade?

Elsewhere in this issue, on page 13, Senior Editor Kevin Fitchard looks at how two of the smaller winners in the Advanced Wireless Services spectrum auction are likely to exploit their new licenses. Also, Senior Editor Tim McElligott examines how policy management capabilities can offer a safe, secure middleground in the debate over whether children should be able to use their mobile phones while in school (page 18).

And, meanwhile, if you have somehow managed to put together a reliable forecast for the telecom industry's future, can you please let the rest of us know?

Get Updates Via Email

related resources

popular articles

Want to use this article? Click here for options!
© 2008 Penton Media Inc.

Webcasts

WEBCAST

Telephony’s Inside Telecom Live: Building an efficient IPTV content supply chain

Find out! Watch Telephony's LIVE Webcast July 23, 2PM ET/11AM PT. Telephony will delve into what is required to create an efficient IPTV content supply chain. LEARN MORE or REGISTER NOW.

White Papers

WHITE PAPER

New Backhaul Networks for Mobile Broadband

Heavy Reading Research Senior Analyst Patrick Donegan discusses the exciting possibilities of High Speed Packet Access, CDMA 1X EV-DO, and Mobile WiMax. DOWNLOAD NOW

Podcasts

PODCAST

A Telephony Podcast: Mobile’s virus threat

Gareth Maclachlan, CTO of AdaptiveMobile, speaks with Associate News Editor Sarah Reedy about the growing mobile virus threat.LISTEN

Blogs

BLOG

What happened at NXTcomm08

Recuperating from the big show, here are some reflections on some of the more prominent themes amid activity at the show... READ

E-Books

E-BOOK

READ E-BOOK: MANAGING THE CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE

This e-book explains how to keep your customers happy, reduce churn and strengthen profits. Sponsored by CA’s Wily Technology Division. READ NOW!

TV

TV

Interview with Jim Hansen of Embarq at NXTcomm08

Tune in to Telephony TV to watch an interview with Embarq's Jim Hansen at NXTcomm08. WATCH IT NOW.

  • Telephony Content
  • Telephony Content

current issue

Current Issue

July 14, 2008

The chip-making giant is again driving into the wireless processor pool, expecting to make a bigger splash as computing gains prominence in mobile devices. Read Now

NXTcomm08 Show Daily News

Get up-to-the-minute news from NXTcomm08 -- before, during and after the show! Hear interview podcasts, announcements, commentary and more. Visit www.nxtcommnews.com!

more news

Global >>

MORE

Ethernet >>

MORE

Independent >>

MORE

IPTV >>

MORE

IMS >>

MORE

WiMax >>

MORE

VOIP >>

MORE

FTTX >>

MORE

Access >>

MORE

Broadband >>

MORE

Wireless >>

MORE

Software >>

MORE

Podcasts >>

MORE

Get Updates Via Email

Browse Issues

  • July 14, 2008
  • June 30, 2008
  • Jun 16, 2008
  • May 19, 2008
  • May 5, 2008
  • Apr 28, 2008
  • Apr 14, 2008